Estimate fireball and shockwave radii for nuclear explosions based on yield (TNT equivalent). Uses empirical cube‑root scaling.
Cube‑root scaling: R = R₀ · (W / W₀)1/3
where R is radius, W is yield in kilotons TNT. Reference values (1 kt):
The effects of a nuclear explosion scale with the cube root of the yield – a consequence of the energy being released in a volume. This means that doubling the yield increases the radius of a given effect by only about 26% (21/3 ≈ 1.26). The empirical reference values used here (1 kt: fireball 130 m, 5 psi 470 m, 1 psi 1500 m) are derived from declassified data in The Effects of Nuclear Weapons (1950s–60s) and are typical for a surface burst.
Overpressure levels – what they mean
Fireball: The luminous sphere of hot gases. At peak size, its radius for a surface burst is roughly 130 · W1/3 meters (W in kt).
In blast physics it is common to use the scaled distance:
Z = R / W1/3
where R is the actual distance (m) and W the yield (kt). For a given overpressure, Z is approximately constant. For example, the 5 psi overpressure corresponds to Z ≈ 470 m/kt1/3. Once Z is known, the radius for any yield is simply R = Z · W1/3. This scaling holds over a wide range of yields (from ~0.001 kt to 100 Mt) and is a direct consequence of the self‑similarity of strong explosions (Sedov–Taylor similarity).
| Yield | Fireball | 5 psi (severe damage) | 1 psi (glass breakage) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 kt | 60 m | 220 m | 700 m |
| 1 kt | 130 m | 470 m | 1.50 km |
| 10 kt | 280 m | 1.01 km | 3.23 km |
| 100 kt | 600 m | 2.18 km | 6.97 km |
| 1 Mt | 1.30 km | 4.70 km | 15.0 km |
| 10 Mt | 2.80 km | 10.1 km | 32.3 km |
| 50 Mt | 4.79 km | 17.3 km | 55.4 km |
Values are rounded. For 1 Mt, the 5 psi radius is ~4.7 km – an area of nearly 70 km² subjected to severe damage.
Calculator Assumptions: